A Critical Infrastructure Protection (CIP) program requires the capability of forecasting how a potential threat originating in some geographical location propagates in an heterogeneous environment. We propose an approach to the disaster propagation analysis based on interacting Markovian Agents. For the sake of illustration, the paper discusses the propagation of a seismic wave and presents an analysis tool, where starting from an arbitrarily chosen geographical map of the region of interest, and fixing the epicenter of the seismic phenomenon, the speed and intensity of the wave are computed and directly displayed on the map.
Disaster propagation in heterogeneous media via Markovian agents
CEROTTI, DAVIDE;BOBBIO, Andrea
2009-01-01
Abstract
A Critical Infrastructure Protection (CIP) program requires the capability of forecasting how a potential threat originating in some geographical location propagates in an heterogeneous environment. We propose an approach to the disaster propagation analysis based on interacting Markovian Agents. For the sake of illustration, the paper discusses the propagation of a seismic wave and presents an analysis tool, where starting from an arbitrarily chosen geographical map of the region of interest, and fixing the epicenter of the seismic phenomenon, the speed and intensity of the wave are computed and directly displayed on the map.File in questo prodotto:
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